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How many copies did Raw Data sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 86k–139k
$942k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Raw Data out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Raw Data's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17.0M–27.2M
best case 27.3M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Raw Data

The middle of these games

≈ 17.0M–27.2M copies

≈ $201.2M–$289.2M after Steam's cut

from ~548k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.8M–33.8M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$307.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 459 to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (4 of 8) and VR (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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HorrorOnline Co-Op
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too small to compare
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Subnautica
2018
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≈ 11.5M–18.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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379k reviews
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Open World Survival CraftSurvival
No Man's Sky
2016
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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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RacingOpen World
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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VR SUPER SPORTS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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$12.99
122 reviews
Mixed
SportsAction

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