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How many copies did Total War: WARHAMMER II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before the cut
from 121k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Total War: WARHAMMER II out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Total War: WARHAMMER II's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 50k–3.0M
best case 4.8M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)
Games like Total War: WARHAMMER II

The middle of these games

≈ 50k–3.0M copies

≈ $308k–$57.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $60.5M–$162.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 877 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 105 to 32k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RTS (6 of 8) and Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 717k–1.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before the cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: WARHAMMER III
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$60.5M–$162.7M after Steam's cut $110.0M–$250.2M before the cut
$59.99
148k reviews
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Total War: WARHAMMER
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.5M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.5M before the cut
$59.99
52k reviews
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StrategyFantasy
Winter Falling: Battle Tactics
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $90k–$204k before the cut
$14.99
482 reviews
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Border Pioneer
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Est. copies
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Tower DefenseStrategy
Thrive: Heavy Lies The Crown
2025
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$86k–$232k after Steam's cut $157k–$357k before the cut
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Early AccessRTS
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut
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Est. copies
≈ 93k–152k
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Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
$39.99
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StrategySimulation

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