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How many copies did Deceit sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
from 92k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Deceit out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deceit's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.7M–29.6M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Deceit

The middle of these games

≈ 18.7M–29.6M copies

≈ $272.2M–$409.9M after Steam's cut

from ~469k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (4 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Shooter + FPS. The breakout hits carry FPS + Shooter + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.4M–43.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
469k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut $356.0M–$809.9M before the cut
$49.99
469k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.3M–122.4M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before the cut
$14.99
542k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$301.6M–$810.8M after Steam's cut $548.3M–$1247.4M before the cut
$59.99
439k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.