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How many copies did Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 148k–240k
$407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 58k–118k
best case 154k (GOAT OF DUTY)
Games like Manual Samuel - Last Tuesday Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 58k–118k copies

≈ $239k–$438k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: GOAT OF DUTY at ≈ 117k–191k copies, ≈ $322k–$866k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 122 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 276.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (5 of 8) and Dark Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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