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How many copies did LOST SPHEAR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before the cut
from 216 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left LOST SPHEAR out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LOST SPHEAR's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 334k–830k
best case 2.8M (Persona 4 Golden)
Games like LOST SPHEAR

The middle of these games

≈ 334k–830k copies

≈ $4.7M–$14.5M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 4 Golden at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on JRPG (8 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 753k–1.2M
1.9x vs typical
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OCTOPATH TRAVELER™
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RPGJRPG
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≈ 201k–326k
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RPGPixel Graphics
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel
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JRPGAnime
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
5.6x vs typical
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DRAGON QUEST® XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age™ - Digital Edition of Light
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RPGTurn-Based

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