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How big is Black Squad?

Estimated owners
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
from 81k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Black Squad out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Squad's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30.1M–60.4M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Black Squad

The middle of these games

≈ 30.1M–60.4M copies

≈ $77.9M after Steam's cut

from ~780k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (4 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Survival + Battle Royale + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.0M–30.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
661k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.3M–80.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
780k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.4M–43.0M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
676k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.0M–128.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.