Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Black Desert sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.8M before the cut
from 94k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Black Desert out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Desert's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.0M–15.3M
best case 35.1M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like Black Desert

The middle of these games

≈ 7.0M–15.3M copies

≈ $52.4M–$129.7M after Steam's cut

from ~215k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.7M–43.4M copies, ≈ $110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on MMORPG (6 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Trove
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
93k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.7M–43.4M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut $200.2M–$455.4M before the cut
$14.99
776k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.0M–30.9M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
661k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
New World: Aeternum
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
297k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldMassively Multiplayer
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.3M–$70.8M after Steam's cut $47.9M–$108.9M before the cut
$19.99
85k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
The Elder Scrolls® Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.5M–$82.1M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before the cut
$19.99
161k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMMORPG
SMITE®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMOBA
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
268k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.