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How many copies did Trailmakers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut
from 39k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Trailmakers out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trailmakers's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 678k–2.1M
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like Trailmakers

The middle of these games

≈ 678k–2.1M copies

≈ $14.3M–$28.8M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.0M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (3 of 8) and LEGO (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Story Rich + Swordplay; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LEGO® Star Wars™ III - The Clone Wars™
2011
Est. copies
≈ 587k–954k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.3M before the cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOAction
SPORE™
2008
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.2M–$67.8M after Steam's cut $45.8M–$104.3M before the cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
God GameOpen World
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.9M–$34.7M after Steam's cut $23.5M–$53.4M before the cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before the cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOAdventure
LEGO® Star Wars™ - The Complete Saga
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before the cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LEGOLocal Co-Op
Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before the cut
$59.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer
Learn to Fly 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 388k–631k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCasual

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