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How many copies did Mayhem in Single Valley sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before the cut
from 324 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mayhem in Single Valley out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mayhem in Single Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.6M–9.3M
best case 12.9M (Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition)
Games like Mayhem in Single Valley

The middle of these games

≈ 5.6M–9.3M copies

≈ $23.6M–$43.7M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is 2.5D (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition at ≈ 9.8M–16.0M copies, ≈ $13.5M–$36.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 12 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2.5D (3 of 8) and Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Zombies, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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