How much revenue did Return of the Obra Dinn make?

$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Return of the Obra Dinn sell?

Q: How many copies did Return of the Obra Dinn sell?

1.1M to 1.7M copies, based on its 35k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.7M; $5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut; from 35k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Return of the Obra Dinn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Return of the Obra Dinn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 644k–1.7M

best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)

Games like Return of the Obra Dinn

The middle of these games

≈ 644k–1.7M copies

≈ $3.7M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.7M–$28.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Mystery (8 of 8) and Detective (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.7M–$28.6M after Steam's cut $19.4M–$44.1M before the cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
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