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How many copies did Heat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 73k–118k
$399k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $726k–$1.7M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heat out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Heat's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 87k–200k
best case 21.7M (Fallout: New Vegas)
Games like Heat

The middle of these games

≈ 87k–200k copies

≈ $727k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout: New Vegas at ≈ 16.5M–26.8M copies, ≈ $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 976 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (7 of 7) and Western (5 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Post-apocalyptic + Singleplayer + Moddable; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Outlaws of the Old West
2019
Est. copies
≈ 181k–295k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$996k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftWestern
Blood West
2023
Est. copies
≈ 165k–268k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
FPSOpen World
Wild West Legacy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$394k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $717k–$1.6M before the cut
$26.99
2k reviews
Mostly Negative
WesternSimulation
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
63x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
This Land Is My Land
2021
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$951k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Above Snakes
2023
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$339k–$912k after Steam's cut $617k–$1.4M before the cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldAtmospheric
New Frontier
2019
Est. copies
≈ 107k–173k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySurvival

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