wishvane
How many copies did Fallout: New Vegas sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 13.5M–21.9M
$37.0M–$99.5M net $67.3M–$153.0M gross
from 259k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fallout: New Vegas out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallout: New Vegas's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.8M–6.8M
best case 29.9M (Dying Light)
The Open World lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 6.8M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 6.8M copies
≈ $157.9M after Steam's cut
from ~216k reviews
Best case
≈ 29.9M copies
Dying Light · ≈ $288.3M after Steam's cut
from 490k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

1 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 4 are breakout hits far above it, and 3 are too small to compare.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $22.
  • The breakout hits carry Post-apocalyptic + Survival + Open World Survival Craft; a typical game here doesn't.
  • The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAdventure +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$108.7M–$292.2M net $197.6M–$449.5M gross
$19.99
426k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic +6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.7M–15.7M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$119.5M–$321.2M net $217.2M–$494.2M gross
$44.99
402k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies +6
2013
Est. copies
≈ 23.8M–38.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$130.9M–$352.0M net $238.0M–$541.5M gross
$19.99
458k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies +6
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$85.6M–$230.2M net $155.7M–$354.1M gross
$59.99
216k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.5M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.4M–$154.4M net $104.4M–$237.6M gross
$39.99
152k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 22.7M–37.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$156.3M–$420.3M net $284.3M–$646.7M gross
$24.99
490k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.9M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.2M–$62.3M net $42.2M–$95.9M gross
$19.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples