How much revenue did Fallout: New Vegas make?

$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fallout: New Vegas sell?

Q: How many copies did Fallout: New Vegas sell?

16.5M to 26.8M copies, based on its 261k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 16.5M–26.8M; $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut; from 261k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fallout: New Vegas out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallout: New Vegas's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.2M–7.0M

best case 31.7M (Dying Light)

Games like Fallout: New Vegas

The middle of these games

≈ 5.2M–7.0M copies

≈ $74.9M–$136.0M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.1M–39.2M copies, ≈ $165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 72k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 25k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (8 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Post-apocalyptic + Survival + Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–34.0M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.9M–$308.8M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.1M before the cut	$19.99	428k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.1M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $122.7M–$330.0M after Steam's cut $223.1M–$507.7M before the cut	$44.99	400k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.2M–49.0M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $207.3M–$557.3M after Steam's cut $376.9M–$857.4M before the cut	$24.99	477k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut	$59.99	219k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
NieR:Automata™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut	$39.99	153k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.1M–39.2M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut	$24.99	494k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut $42.5M–$96.6M before the cut	$19.99	123k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft