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How many copies did Fidget Spinner sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–37k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before the cut
from 669 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fidget Spinner out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fidget Spinner's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–4.3M
best case 14.9M (Call of Duty®: Black Ops III)
Games like Fidget Spinner

The middle of these games

≈ 1.9M–4.3M copies

≈ $3.7M–$125.7M after Steam's cut

from ~61k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Call of Duty®: Black Ops III at ≈ 11.4M–18.4M copies, ≈ $187.3M–$503.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (4 of 8) and Management (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + FPS, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
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≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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VRSoftware
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before the cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.4M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$187.3M–$503.5M after Steam's cut $340.5M–$774.7M before the cut
$59.99
233k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.4M–$76.4M after Steam's cut $51.7M–$117.5M before the cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 382k–621k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before the cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
Clicker Heroes
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
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Free
62k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
AdVenture Capitalist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
Emily is Away
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.