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How many copies did DiRT Rally 2.0 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before the cut
from 48k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left DiRT Rally 2.0 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DiRT Rally 2.0's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–9.3M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like DiRT Rally 2.0

The middle of these games

≈ 2.4M–9.3M copies

≈ $28.0M–$98.5M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Automobile Sim (8 of 8) and Driving (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.7M–15.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.4M–$143.6M after Steam's cut $97.1M–$220.9M before the cut
$19.99
173k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before the cut
$39.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.1M after Steam's cut $45.4M–$103.3M before the cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.4M–$44.2M before the cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$307.2M after Steam's cut $207.7M–$472.6M before the cut
$59.99
279k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World

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