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How many copies did Forza Horizon 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
$114.2M–$307.2M after Steam's cut $207.7M–$472.6M before the cut
from 279k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Forza Horizon 5 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Forza Horizon 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.7M–16.2M
best case 78.0M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like Forza Horizon 5

The middle of these games

≈ 4.7M–16.2M copies

≈ $35.5M–$196.1M after Steam's cut

from ~163k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.4M–96.6M copies, ≈ $326.7M–$878.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 84k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Driving (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.7M–15.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.4M–$143.6M after Steam's cut $97.1M–$220.9M before the cut
$19.99
173k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.3M–$38.5M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.3M before the cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.3M–33.0M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut
$24.99
416k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
My Summer Car
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.5M before the cut
$14.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Automobile SimSimulation
Need for Speed™ Heat
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$73.1M–$196.5M after Steam's cut $132.9M–$302.3M before the cut
$69.99
153k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Mad Max
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.2M–$65.1M after Steam's cut $44.0M–$100.1M before the cut
$19.99
90k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldVehicular Combat
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.4M–96.6M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$326.7M–$878.4M after Steam's cut $594.0M–$1351.4M before the cut
$19.99
940k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation

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