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How many copies did Tiny Bubbles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before the cut
from 52 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tiny Bubbles out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiny Bubbles's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–17k
best case 496k (Webbed)
Games like Tiny Bubbles

The middle of these games

≈ 6k–17k copies

≈ $8k–$86k after Steam's cut

from ~347 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Webbed at ≈ 378k–615k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 57 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 18 to 3k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (6 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Physics, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + 2D Platformer + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Incredipede
2013
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$63k–$169k after Steam's cut $115k–$261k before the cut
$9.99
363 reviews
Mostly Positive
BuildingPhysics
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 378k–615k
44x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
Puttler
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before the cut
$7.99
272 reviews
Very Positive
Mini GolfPhysics
Seedlings
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before the cut
$9.99
94 reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericNature
Paper Beast
2020
Est. copies
≈ 18k–28k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$399k before the cut
$19.99
707 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
SuiCats
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
$1.99
108 reviews
Very Positive
CasualArcade
Fireboy & Watergirl: Fairy Tales
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
$0.99
361 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
LumbearJack
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before the cut
$12.99
347 reviews
Very Positive
CasualCute

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.