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How many copies did LumbearJack sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before the cut
from 347 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left LumbearJack out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LumbearJack's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–13.4M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like LumbearJack

The middle of these games

≈ 1.6M–13.4M copies

≈ $14.5M–$71.5M after Steam's cut

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 31k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3k to 38k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 843k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before the cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before the cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before the cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$36.1M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.6M before the cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie

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