How much revenue did Muv-Luv Alternative make?

$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Muv-Luv Alternative sell?

Q: How many copies did Muv-Luv Alternative sell?

115k to 186k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 115k–186k; $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before the cut; from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Muv-Luv Alternative out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Muv-Luv Alternative's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–89k

best case 206k (Sunrider: Mask of Arcadius)

Games like Muv-Luv Alternative

The middle of these games

≈ 38k–89k copies

≈ $343k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sunrider: Mask of Arcadius at ≈ 157k–255k copies.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Anime + Visual Novel.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE 2020	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $170k–$456k after Steam's cut $308k–$702k before the cut	$34.99	711 reviews Very Positive	AdventureVisual Novel
Muv-Luv 2018	Est. copies ≈ 63k–103k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $522k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $949k–$2.2M before the cut	$29.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Baldr Sky 2019	Est. copies ≈ 46k–75k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $635k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.6M before the cut	$49.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelMechs
Sunrider: Mask of Arcadius 2014	Est. copies ≈ 157k–255k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Sunrider: Liberation Day - Captain's Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 34k–56k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $235k–$632k after Steam's cut $427k–$972k before the cut	$24.99	822 reviews Very Positive	StrategyVisual Novel
New Gundam Breaker 2018	Est. copies ≈ 72k–118k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $996k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut	$49.99	2k reviews Mixed	MechsAction
Corona Blossom Vol.1 Gift From the Galaxy 2016	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$146k before the cut	$9.99	308 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Heaven Will Be Mine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $100k–$269k after Steam's cut $182k–$413k before the cut	$14.99	797 reviews Very Positive	IndieLGBTQ+