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wishvane

How many copies did Armed to the Gears sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before the cut
from 215 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Armed to the Gears out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Armed to the Gears's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–26k
best case 69k (Taur)
Games like Armed to the Gears

The middle of these games

≈ 7k–26k copies

≈ $25k–$217k after Steam's cut

from ~301 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 4 similar games is a hit.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Taur at ≈ 52k–85k copies, ≈ $359k–$965k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 97 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17 to 470.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Tower Defense (3 of 4) and Real Time Tactics (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Base-Building, priced around $25.
The era
Only 1 of your 4 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before the cut
$9.99
240 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeAuto Battler
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before the cut
$14.99
362 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureShoot 'Em Up
Taur
2020
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$359k–$965k after Steam's cut $653k–$1.5M before the cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Dog Duty
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before the cut
$4.99
126 reviews
Mostly Positive
WarIndie

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.