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How many copies did Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$252k before the cut
from 486 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–15k
best case 210k (Faerie Solitaire)
Games like Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret

The middle of these games

≈ 10k–15k copies

≈ $33k–$73k after Steam's cut

from ~317 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Faerie Solitaire at ≈ 160k–259k copies, ≈ $658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Board Game (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game, priced around $12.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Faerie Solitaire Remastered
2017
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$374k before the cut
$14.99
638 reviews
Very Positive
Card GameBoard Game
Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before the cut
$1.99
559 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleTabletop
Regency Solitaire
2015
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$144k–$388k after Steam's cut $263k–$598k before the cut
$11.99
898 reviews
Very Positive
SolitaireVisual Novel
Regency Solitaire II
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before the cut
$14.99
245 reviews
Very Positive
SolitairePuzzle
Cat Lady - The Card Game
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before the cut
$3.99
326 reviews
Very Positive
CasualStrategy
Pretty Girls Mahjong Solitaire
2015
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before the cut
$4.99
740 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualAnime
Alice's Patchworks 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$54k–$146k after Steam's cut $99k–$225k before the cut
$14.99
317 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Faerie Solitaire
2010
Est. copies
≈ 160k–259k
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SolitaireCasual

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