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How many copies did Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before the cut
from 559 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 150k–427k
best case 1.8M (Liar's Bar)
Games like Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle

The middle of these games

≈ 150k–427k copies

≈ $938k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Puzzle (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Liar's Bar at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 12k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (4 of 8) and Board Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Gambling, priced around $7.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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