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How many copies did ATLAS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before the cut
from 43k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ATLAS out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ATLAS's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 41k–29.1M
best case 55.6M (Rust)
Games like ATLAS

The middle of these games

≈ 41k–29.1M copies

≈ $388k–$204.8M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.4M–68.9M copies, ≈ $466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
105x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.7M–43.4M
120x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut $200.2M–$455.4M before the cut
$14.99
776k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Abandon Ship
2019
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$268k–$720k after Steam's cut $487k–$1.1M before the cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
PiratesRogue-lite
Mutiny Island
2019
Est. copies
≈ 605–983
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$7.99
21 reviews
Mixed
PiratesOpen World Survival Craft
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
215x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Salt
2018
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$282k–$758k after Steam's cut $513k–$1.2M before the cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftOpen World
Blazing Sails
2023
Est. copies
≈ 265k–431k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opNaval Combat
Feral Blue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $71k–$160k before the cut
$19.99
245 reviews
Mixed
AdventureStrategy

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