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wishvane

How many copies did Psychedelica of the Ashen Hawk sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$157k–$423k after Steam's cut $286k–$650k before the cut
from 662 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Psychedelica of the Ashen Hawk out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Psychedelica of the Ashen Hawk's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–22k
best case 105k (Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds)
Games like Psychedelica of the Ashen Hawk

The middle of these games

≈ 5k–22k copies

≈ $22k–$361k after Steam's cut

from ~161 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds at ≈ 80k–130k copies, ≈ $219k–$589k after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Otome + Visual Novel, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$219k–$589k after Steam's cut $399k–$907k before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
OtomeVisual Novel
Nightshade/百花百狼
2017
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$262k–$706k after Steam's cut $477k–$1.1M before the cut
$34.99
793 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
OtomeFemale Protagonist
Dead Wishes
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before the cut
$9.99
79 reviews
Very Positive
ViolentGore
Crossroad
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$44k before the cut
$8.99
143 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Winter Worm, Summer Grass
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78 reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayNudity
Steam Prison
2019
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$124k–$335k after Steam's cut $226k–$515k before the cut
$34.99
449 reviews
Very Positive
OtomeFemale Protagonist
London Detective Mysteria
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
135 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCasual
クラブ・スーサイド
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before the cut
$11.99
178 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel

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