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How many copies did ARIDA: Backland's Awakening sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–37k
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$88k before the cut
from 788 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ARIDA: Backland's Awakening out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARIDA: Backland's Awakening's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 196k–2.3M
best case 7.5M (Assassin's Creed® Odyssey)
Games like ARIDA: Backland's Awakening

The middle of these games

≈ 196k–2.3M copies

≈ $2.1M–$33.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin's Creed® Odyssey at ≈ 5.7M–9.3M copies, ≈ $94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 773 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 366 to 939.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Female Protagonist (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Historical, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut
$59.99
188k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Assassin's Creed® Syndicate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.3M–$35.7M after Steam's cut $24.2M–$55.0M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
AssassinOpen World
Game of Thrones - A Telltale Games Series
2014
Est. copies
≈ 593k–964k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichEpisodic
Syberia: The World Before
2022
Est. copies
≈ 125k–203k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.3M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.6M–$60.8M after Steam's cut $41.1M–$93.6M before the cut
$39.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Ken Follett's The Pillars of the Earth
2017
Est. copies
≈ 261k–424k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterAdventure
Call of the Sea
2020
Est. copies
≈ 158k–256k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$866k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
My Vow to My Liege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 102k–165k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$280k–$752k after Steam's cut $508k–$1.2M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistRomance

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