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How many copies did Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 66k–108k
$364k–$978k after Steam's cut $661k–$1.5M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.4M–22.7M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure

The middle of these games

≈ 10.4M–22.7M copies

≈ $109.2M–$160.7M after Steam's cut

from ~269k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 171k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (4 of 8) and Female Protagonist (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2004 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$70.1M–$188.4M after Steam's cut $127.4M–$289.8M before the cut
$39.99
221k reviews
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ZombiesSurvival Horror
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
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PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Half-Life 2
2004
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≈ 17.6M–28.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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≈ 25–40
too small to compare
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1 reviews
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2021
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Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
1.7x vs typical
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$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
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MagicOpen World

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