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wishvane

How big is Thibalryn?

Estimated owners
≈ 979–2k
from 34 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Thibalryn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thibalryn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–89k
best case 577k (Supraland)
Games like Thibalryn

The middle of these games

≈ 11k–89k copies

≈ $28k–$583k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Supraland at ≈ 440k–714k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 271 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 30 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (7 of 8) and Metroidvania (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Exploration, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Promenade
2024
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$123k–$331k after Steam's cut $224k–$509k before the cut
$19.99
902 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCute
Treasures of the Aegean
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before the cut
$19.99
115 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSide Scroller
Pine Hearts
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut
$12.99
120 reviews
Very Positive
WholesomeExploration
Lunnye Devitsy
2009
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$58k before the cut
$4.99
162 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationMetroidvania
Supraland Six Inches Under
2022
Est. copies
≈ 105k–171k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$578k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania
Isles of Sea and Sky
2024
Est. copies
≈ 40k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$223k–$599k after Steam's cut $405k–$921k before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaRetro
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 440k–714k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before the cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Little Noah: Scion of Paradise
2022
Est. copies
≈ 56k–90k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$229k–$616k after Steam's cut $416k–$947k before the cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeExploration

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