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How many copies did American Fugitive sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 94k–152k
$515k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $937k–$2.1M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left American Fugitive out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including American Fugitive's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 496k–3.6M
best case 9.8M (RimWorld)
Games like American Fugitive

The middle of these games

≈ 496k–3.6M copies

≈ $4.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.5M–12.1M copies, ≈ $71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 744 to 24k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sandbox (7 of 8) and Base-Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Don't Starve
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.6M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$52.9M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.4M before the cut
$9.99
113k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut $130.6M–$297.1M before the cut
$34.99
246k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
RUNNING WITH RIFLES
2015
Est. copies
≈ 817k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before the cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterAction
The Survivalists
2020
Est. copies
≈ 250k–407k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before the cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
CraftingSurvival
Big Ambitions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 335k–544k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.9M before the cut
$25.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessManagement
Foxhole
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.8M before the cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Mostly Positive
Massively MultiplayerWargame
shapez
2020
Est. copies
≈ 393k–638k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Sands of Salzaar
2021
Est. copies
≈ 571k–928k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before the cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

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