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How many copies did Heretic Operative sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before the cut
from 93 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heretic Operative out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heretic Operative's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 822k–2.0M
best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)
Games like Heretic Operative

The middle of these games

≈ 822k–2.0M copies

≈ $6.8M–$12.6M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $19.9M–$53.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Card Game (5 of 8) and Trading Card Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tabletop + Board Game, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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