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How many copies did The Tiny Bang Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 420k–683k
$576k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before the cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Tiny Bang Story out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Tiny Bang Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98–381
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like The Tiny Bang Story

The middle of these games

≈ 98–381 copies

≈ $104–$814 after Steam's cut

from ~4 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 3 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (8 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Puzzle-Platformer + 3D Platformer + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bomb Bowling 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 346–562
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$475–$1k after Steam's cut $863–$2k before the cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
PuzzlePhysics
Bomb Bowling
2019
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$4.99
31 reviews
Positive
IndiePuzzle
Rope Bowling
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before the cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualPhysics
Candy gun
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before the cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
PePiBo: Peregrino Pinata Bowling
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before the cut
$7.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualSports
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
49609x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
56621x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Puzzle Bowling
2020
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before the cut
$0.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualRelaxing

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