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wishvane

How many copies did Human Fall Flat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
from 226k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Human Fall Flat out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Human Fall Flat's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.0M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like Human Fall Flat

The middle of these games

≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies

≈ $10.0M–$16.9M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Platformer (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (3 of 8) and Building (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Utilities + Audio Production + Music; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.6M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$37.9M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Liar's Bar
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before the cut
$6.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.5M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.2M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before the cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HITMAN™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.