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How many copies did Horror Girl Puzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$629–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
from 76 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Horror Girl Puzzle out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Horror Girl Puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 147–326
best case 242k (THE LONGING)
Games like Horror Girl Puzzle

The middle of these games

≈ 147–326 copies

≈ $288–$402 after Steam's cut

from ~6 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Idler (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: THE LONGING at ≈ 184k–300k copies, ≈ $760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 2k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Idler (4 of 8) and Experimental (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Gore + Souls-like, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The logic inside
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$245–$660 after Steam's cut $446–$1k before the cut
$5.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
CasualPuzzle
Grass Cutter - Mutated Lawns
2017
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
56x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
338 reviews
Very Positive
DifficultGore
Dark spot
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$122–$330 after Steam's cut $222–$507 before the cut
$5.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualIndie
Cat's Menace
2021
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$190–$511 after Steam's cut $345–$786 before the cut
$1.99
14 reviews
Mixed
ExperimentalIdler
Tree Bonsai
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before the cut
$0.99
173 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Paint Girl
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–32k
131x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut
$1.99
785 reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentHentai
Fly Corp
2023
Est. copies
≈ 84k–137k
565x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$347k–$932k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
TransportationCasual
THE LONGING
2020
Est. copies
≈ 184k–300k
1239x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickWalking Simulator

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.