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How many copies did The Last Campfire sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 506k–822k
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.6M before the cut
from 20k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Last Campfire out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Campfire's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 588k–1.8M
best case 8.7M (It Takes Two)
Games like The Last Campfire

The middle of these games

≈ 588k–1.8M copies

≈ $1.3M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: It Takes Two at ≈ 6.7M–10.8M copies, ≈ $73.2M–$196.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Split Screen + Local Co-Op + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.3M before the cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericHistorical
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.8M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.2M–$196.7M after Steam's cut $133.0M–$302.7M before the cut
$39.99
268k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Seen
2019
Est. copies
≈ 288k–467k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before the cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessIndie
Sanfu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 442k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$10.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryRPG
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before the cut
$14.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip
2023
Est. copies
≈ 597k–969k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$655k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$3.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$959k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before the cut
$2.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Outcore: Desktop Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 453k–736k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.