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How many copies did Tetris® Effect: Connected sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223k–362k
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.1M before the cut
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tetris® Effect: Connected out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tetris® Effect: Connected's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.7M–8.0M
best case 12.1M (Hogwarts Legacy)
Games like Tetris® Effect: Connected

The middle of these games

≈ 3.7M–8.0M copies

≈ $20.9M–$70.6M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (4 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Tower DefenseZombies
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STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
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Action-AdventureSouls-like
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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MagicOpen World
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2015
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≈ 2.6M–4.2M
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Ori and the Blind Forest
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≈ 2.9M–4.8M
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Free
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