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How many copies did EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 332k–539k
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before the cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22.3M–58.2M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5

The middle of these games

≈ 22.3M–58.2M copies

≈ $164.1M–$358.4M after Steam's cut

from ~728k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 208k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 103k to 470k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (4 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$315.9M–$849.4M after Steam's cut $574.4M–$1306.8M before the cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
676k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.4M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$98.7M–$265.3M after Steam's cut $179.4M–$408.2M before the cut
$29.99
482k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.3M–80.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
780k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.6M–30.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$153.8M–$413.4M after Steam's cut $279.6M–$636.0M before the cut
$29.99
295k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut $109.0M–$248.0M before the cut
$24.99
352k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
781k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer

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