How much revenue did Arma 3 make?

$153.8M–$413.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arma 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Arma 3 sell?

18.6M to 30.3M copies, based on its 295k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 18.6M–30.3M; $153.8M–$413.4M after Steam's cut $279.6M–$636.0M before the cut; from 295k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arma 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arma 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 19.6M–45.1M

best case 813.7M (Counter-Strike 2)

Games like Arma 3

The middle of these games

≈ 19.6M–45.1M copies

≈ $101.7M–$369.7M after Steam's cut

from ~469k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Team-Based + e-sports + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2000 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.3M–80.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	780k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Counter-Strike 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M 21x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9.8M reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
Counter-Strike 2000	Est. copies ≈ 16.5M–26.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $45.4M–$122.0M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.7M before the cut	$9.99	261k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionFPS
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 75.3M–122.4M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.5M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut $356.0M–$809.9M before the cut	$49.99	469k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Titanfall® 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $58.4M–$157.0M after Steam's cut $106.2M–$241.6M before the cut	$29.99	286k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSMechs
Call of Duty® 2022	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	781k reviews Mixed	FPSMultiplayer
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.6M–25.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $214.5M–$576.7M after Steam's cut $390.0M–$887.2M before the cut	$49.99	375k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II