wishvane
How many copies did Arma 3 sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 15.3M–24.8M
$126.0M–$338.8M net $229.1M–$521.3M gross
from 294k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arma 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arma 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.2M–38.3M
best case 662.3M (Counter-Strike 2)
The Multiplayer lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 19.5M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 19.5M copies
≈ $235.8M after Steam's cut
from ~465k reviews
Best case
≈ 662.3M copies
Counter-Strike 2
from 9.7M reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

7 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 1 is a breakout hit far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $40.
  • The breakout hits carry Team-Based + e-sports + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
  • The games you compared span 2000 to 2022, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2013
Est. copies
≈ 39.8M–64.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
765k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation +6
2012
Est. copies
≈ 504.6M–820.0M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.7M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter +6
2000
Est. copies
≈ 13.5M–22.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$37.2M–$100.1M net $67.7M–$153.9M gross
$9.99
260k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 70.9M–115.3M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.1M–22.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$194.1M–$522.0M net $353.0M–$803.0M gross
$49.99
465k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World +6
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$61.5M–$165.5M net $111.9M–$254.5M gross
$29.99
283k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSMechs +6
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18.6M–30.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
776k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer +6
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14.8M–24.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$204.0M–$548.6M net $371.0M–$844.0M gross
$49.99
371k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples