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How many copies did Outcast - A New Beginning sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 43k–69k
$467k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $850k–$1.9M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Outcast - A New Beginning out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outcast - A New Beginning's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26.7M–79.5M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Outcast - A New Beginning

The middle of these games

≈ 26.7M–79.5M copies

≈ $211.9M–$582.7M after Steam's cut

from ~845k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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