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wishvane

How many copies did Fade Out sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 288–468
from 10 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fade Out out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fade Out's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98–2k
best case 27.3M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Fade Out

The middle of these games

≈ 98–2k copies

≈ $235–$12k after Steam's cut

from ~17 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.8M–33.8M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$307.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 40k reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (6 of 8) and VR (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Co-op + Supernatural; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.8M
49284x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$307.1M after Steam's cut $207.7M–$472.5M before the cut
$19.99
838k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
The Corridor: On Behalf Of The Dead
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
36 reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorInvestigation
The Room VR: A Dark Matter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
236x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$684k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before the cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Nightmare Rooms VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$103–$273 after Steam's cut $187–$420 before the cut
$14.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Lockdown VR: Kidnapped
2020
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before the cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Mostly Positive
Escape RoomVR
Lockdown VR: Circus of the Dead
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before the cut
$5.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Escape RoomVR
Lockdown VR: Forgotten Temple
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before the cut
$5.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
AdventureCasual
Rooms of Realities
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before the cut
$17.99
68 reviews
Very Positive
VRPuzzle

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