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How many copies did Chicken Police - Paint it RED! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 63k–102k
$345k–$928k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Chicken Police - Paint it RED! out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chicken Police - Paint it RED!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 109k–1.0M
best case 4.9M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like Chicken Police - Paint it RED!

The middle of these games

≈ 109k–1.0M copies

≈ $1.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.1M copies, ≈ $41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Detective (8 of 8) and Point & Click (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
36x vs typical
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Subsurface Circular
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≈ 190k–309k
1.8x vs typical
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AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES - nirvanA Initiative
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≈ 2.5M–4.1M
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