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How many copies did TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $59k–$135k before the cut
from 240 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 658k–1.3M
best case 2.2M (Realm Royale Reforged)
Games like TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX

The middle of these games

≈ 658k–1.3M copies

≈ $9.3M–$11.9M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Hack and Slash (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Realm Royale Reforged at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 10 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Hack and Slash (3 of 8) and 3D Fighter (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2017
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$19.99
32k reviews
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ActionFemale Protagonist
Moonlighter
2018
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≈ 723k–1.2M
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Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
Realm Royale Reforged
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
2.7x vs typical
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Free
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Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Dragon Simulator Multiplayer
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
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Est. revenue
$910–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$0.99
110 reviews
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DragonsAction-Adventure
SCARLET NEXUS
2021
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≈ 450k–731k
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$7.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.7M before the cut
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AnimeAction
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 655k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.4M before the cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Go All Out: Free To Play
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≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
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Spellbreak
2020
Est. copies
≈ 347k–564k
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