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How many copies did The Henry Stickmin Collection sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before the cut
from 59k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Henry Stickmin Collection out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Henry Stickmin Collection's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 385k–540k
best case 1.1M (Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut)
Games like The Henry Stickmin Collection

The middle of these games

≈ 385k–540k copies

≈ $609k–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut at ≈ 837k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 449 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $18.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 837k–1.4M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before the cut
$17.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-
2016
Est. copies
≈ 343k–557k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$942k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Monster Prom 2: Monster Camp
2020
Est. copies
≈ 152k–247k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$501k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $912k–$2.1M before the cut
$11.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimLGBTQ+
The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before the cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 382k–621k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before the cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–811k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before the cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
A Date with Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 364k–592k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 340k–553k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance

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