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How big is Hello Neighbor Alpha 4?

Estimated owners
≈ 177k–287k
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hello Neighbor Alpha 4 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hello Neighbor Alpha 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 150k–2.2M
best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)
Games like Hello Neighbor Alpha 4

The middle of these games

≈ 150k–2.2M copies

≈ $1.4M–$22.2M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 234 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (8 of 8) and Horror (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Little Nightmares II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before the cut
$29.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
SchoolBoy Runaway
2024
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$215k before the cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleAdventure
DARQ: Complete Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$664k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDark
MADiSON
2022
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$819k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut
$34.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.3M after Steam's cut $22.5M–$51.2M before the cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Lucius
2012
Est. copies
≈ 690k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
Amnesia: Rebirth
2020
Est. copies
≈ 231k–376k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before the cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person

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