wishvane
How many copies did Lucius sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 565k–918k
$3.9M–$10.4M net $7.1M–$16.1M gross
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lucius out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucius's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 834k–1.1M
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
The Indie lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 849k copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 849k copies
≈ $8.5M after Steam's cut
from ~25k reviews
Best case
≈ 2.3M copies
NBA 2K20
from 60k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

6 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 2 are breakout hits far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Singleplayer, priced around $20.
  • The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Basketball + Sports; a typical game here doesn't.
  • The games you compared span 2015 to 2022, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 642k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.2M net $9.6M–$21.9M gross
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyVillain Protagonist +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M net $4.0M–$9.2M gross
$5.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
GoreViolent +6
2020
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.6M net $6.5M–$14.8M gross
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyVillain Protagonist +6
2021
Est. copies
≈ 633k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.7M net $12.7M–$28.8M gross
$39.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldDark Humor +6
2020
Est. copies
≈ 884k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.1M net $8.8M–$20.1M gross
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics +6
2022
Est. copies
≈ 534k–868k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.9M net $8.0M–$18.2M gross
$29.99
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationCrime +6
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M net $14.2M–$32.3M gross
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

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