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How many copies did Sherlock Holmes Chapter One sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 111k–181k
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sherlock Holmes Chapter One out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sherlock Holmes Chapter One's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–5.7M
best case 10.2M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like Sherlock Holmes Chapter One

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–5.7M copies

≈ $9.8M–$56.5M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.6M copies, ≈ $42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Detective (5 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.8M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before the cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionOpen World
Contraband Police
2023
Est. copies
≈ 636k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.7M before the cut
$29.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSimulation
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before the cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Murdered: Soul Suspect
2014
Est. copies
≈ 973k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before the cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut $75.1M–$170.9M before the cut
$39.99
130k reviews
Very Positive
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.6M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut $77.7M–$176.7M before the cut
$19.99
159k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Pathologic 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 350k–569k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before the cut
$34.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Batman™: Arkham Origins
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.0M after Steam's cut $41.2M–$93.8M before the cut
$19.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World

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