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How many copies did Contraband Police sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 636k–1.0M
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.7M before the cut
from 26k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Contraband Police out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Contraband Police's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.9M–10.3M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like Contraband Police

The middle of these games

≈ 9.9M–10.3M copies

≈ $109.7M–$210.6M after Steam's cut

from ~303k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 166k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17k to 200k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (8 of 8) and Realistic (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut $118.2M–$269.0M before the cut
$29.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.3M–11.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.0M–$271.6M after Steam's cut $183.7M–$417.9M before the cut
$49.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.3M–33.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut
$24.99
416k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.6M–30.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$153.8M–$413.4M after Steam's cut $279.6M–$636.0M before the cut
$29.99
295k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.2M–28.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut
$59.99
415k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$42.9M–$115.2M after Steam's cut $77.9M–$177.3M before the cut
$19.99
314k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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