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How many copies did The Guise sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before the cut
from 61 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Guise out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Guise's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–2.5M
best case 2.5M (Blasphemous)
Games like The Guise

The middle of these games

≈ 2.3M–2.5M copies

≈ $24.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut

from ~63k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Blasphemous at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies, ≈ $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Souls-like (5 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$36.0M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.4M before the cut
$24.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
The Last Faith
2023
Est. copies
≈ 140k–227k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$27.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
CONTROL Ultimate Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.2M–$46.1M after Steam's cut $31.2M–$71.0M before the cut
$39.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSupernatural
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before the cut
$24.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Lunacid
2023
Est. copies
≈ 284k–461k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$13.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerDark Fantasy
Salt and Sanctuary
2016
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.6M before the cut
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 525k–853k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.7M before the cut
$37.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy
Returnal™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273k–443k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.6M before the cut
$59.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ActionBullet Hell

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