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How many copies did Going Under sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 103k–167k
$565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Going Under out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Going Under's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–6.4M
best case 33.1M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like Going Under

The middle of these games

≈ 3.8M–6.4M copies

≈ $25.1M–$58.9M after Steam's cut

from ~113k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.2M–41.0M copies, ≈ $104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Cult of the Lamb
2022
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Base-BuildingCute
Enter the Gungeon
2016
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Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Hades
2020
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≈ 7.6M–12.4M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Hades II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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ActionRogue-like
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.2M–41.0M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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450k reviews
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Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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PhysicsRogue-like
The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before the cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like

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