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How many copies did I Can't Believe It's Not Gambling 2(K) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 78 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left I Can't Believe It's Not Gambling 2(K) out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including I Can't Believe It's Not Gambling 2(K)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 75k–449k
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like I Can't Believe It's Not Gambling 2(K)

The middle of these games

≈ 75k–449k copies

≈ $142k–$584k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Collectathon (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 934 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 614 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Collectathon (4 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NBA 2K19
2018
Est. copies
≈ 686k–1.1M
9.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Mostly Negative
SportsBasketball
NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
Siralim 3
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$124k–$333k after Steam's cut $225k–$512k before the cut
$14.99
988 reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorCollectathon
Siralim Ultimate
2021
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$930k after Steam's cut $629k–$1.4M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
CollectathonCreature Collector
Little Noah: Scion of Paradise
2022
Est. copies
≈ 56k–90k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$229k–$616k after Steam's cut $416k–$947k before the cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeExploration
Elin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 227k–369k
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before the cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCharacter Customization
I Can't Believe It's Not Gambling
2017
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before the cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
LootMemes
Loot Hero DX
2015
Est. copies
≈ 74k–121k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$252k before the cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction

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