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wishvane

How many copies did Hardspace: Shipbreaker sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 554k–900k
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before the cut
from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hardspace: Shipbreaker out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Hardspace: Shipbreaker's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.3M–16.7M
best case 22.6M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Hardspace: Shipbreaker

The middle of these games

≈ 10.3M–16.7M copies

≈ $170.1M–$366.2M after Steam's cut

from ~246k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.2M–28.0M copies, ≈ $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (2 of 3) and Sandbox (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut $130.6M–$297.1M before the cut
$34.99
246k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.2M–28.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut
$59.99
415k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.8M before the cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.