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How many copies did Stellaris sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
$112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.8M before the cut
from 197k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Stellaris out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stellaris's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.4M
best case 3.6M (STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack)
Games like Stellaris

The middle of these games

≈ 1.0M–1.4M copies

≈ $9.6M–$23.9M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $15.0M–$40.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sci-fi (5 of 8) and Space (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RTS + Space, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Space SimSimulation
STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack
2010
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≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.1x vs typical
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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2015
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RTSStrategy
Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance
2011
Est. copies
≈ 906k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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ManagementDiplomacy
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Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before the cut
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Mixed
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