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How many copies did A Plague Tale: Requiem sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 662k–1.1M
$9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.6M before the cut
from 27k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left A Plague Tale: Requiem out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Plague Tale: Requiem's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–7.1M
best case 7.5M (Far Cry® 5)
Games like A Plague Tale: Requiem

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–7.1M copies

≈ $17.8M–$106.1M after Steam's cut

from ~155k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Far Cry® 5 at ≈ 5.7M–9.3M copies, ≈ $94.6M–$254.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 8 to 93k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Action-Adventure, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SpaceSingleplayer

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